m Last Stage of US Economic Cycle?     Investors are treating the current lack-luster recovery as it was the final stage of a boom cycle.  The problem is that what was considered to be the
  Each week we look at the technical picture of the major investment markets.  When the Long-Term Indicator moves from Bullish to Bearish or Bearish to Bullish, we will comment on the reasons
* EU To Make Monumental Decisions This Month     It looks like January is going to be a pivot point for Europe as three major decisions will be made. On January 14th, the European Court of Justice
     96% of political contributions from Ivy League professors in the 2012 presidential election went to Obama.  Indeed the brilliant Harvard staff championed Obumercare. s At Harvard We know
  "How low can it go?" is the wrong question.  Rather the questions regarding oil prices should be: How long?  Who/What does it effect. c Oil busts are terrible for  oil and gas states such as
t Survey Says!    EU In A Coma      A survey of 32 of Europe’s top economists shows that 26 think that the European Central Bank (ECB) will embark on a quantitative easing program (QE) that will buy
  m Market Snapshot       With energy stocks leading the way, stocks are falling and are presently down -1.20% as measured by the S&P 500 Index.  Meanwhile Gold is up more than 1% along
  Happy New Year!  For most of 2014 and into the New Year, dividend/income paying US Companies, Real Estate, Utilities and Intermediate to Longer Term Treasury Bonds remain in favor while
d On the eve of the coming New Year,  the markets are seeing little movement other than portfolio managers performing their annual window-dressing by adding  investments they want investors to
2 Here's hoping that you and yours has a wonderful Christmas. s   US Taxpayers Hosed Again           Recently none other than the US Fed  buckled under Bank pressures by granting an extension of
  Each week we look at the technical picture of the major investment markets.  When the Long-Term Indicator moves from Bullish to Bearish or Bearish to Bullish, we will comment on the reasons
d Russia Facing Near Depression & Runaway Inflation     Russia has more than $600 billion of outstanding Dollar-denominated corporate debt (must pay with US dollars, of which $115 billion comes
  Each week we look at the technical picture of the major investment markets.  When the Long-Term Indicator moves from Bullish to Bearish or Bearish to Bullish, we will comment on the reasons
eRo Easy-money, rising profits and booming markets  often obscure all manner of malfeasance, fraud and deception.   However, when the 'lights' of calamity and disruption occur within a market,  
  d It's apparent that as 2014 ends, that deflation remains the dominant theme in the global economy for the coming new year. A key indicator of deflation is global commodity prices as their
w Market/Investment Snapshot     Yesterday we took advantage of the slumping stock market to add a position of the equal weight S&P 500 in advance of todays  rally. The Dow and S&P 500 are
  No - not that kind of envy  - rather  P-u-t-i-n  Envy...     This weeks "Tongue in Cheek" report: d The US Federal Reserve has said many times that it wants inflation and not
e All throughout 2014 we were repeatedly told by all manner of economists and soothsayers that any day the Fed would raise interest rates.  Among them is Marilyn Cohen, whom many claim to be one of
l Market Snapshot     A relief rally tried to take hold pushing the Dow as high as up +230 points earlier; however, it completely fizzled before plummeting  more than -100 points the other direction
b At 1:00 a.m. in Russia, emergency alarms went off.  After increasing its interest rate to 10.5% just last Thursday, in a stunningly shocking move, Russia just increased them again,  but this time
sMar Market Snapshot    Earlier today all was red as stocks continued to retreat with the Dow falling more than 100 points.  However, during the early afternoon it appears some buyers slowly arrived
  Each week we look at the technical picture of the major investment markets.  When the Long-Term Indicator moves from Bullish to Bearish or Bearish to Bullish, we will comment on the reasons
Marked Market Snapshot     With just a few minutes before the market close, the Dow is down nearly 300 points (-1.71%).  Bonds prices are surging pushing the 10-year Treasury yield down to nearly  to
d Having already been passed by the Democratically controlled Senate, today the Republican controlled House will vote H.R. 83 containing $1.1 trillion in appropriations to fund the government through
    No, hedonic quality adjustment does not pertain to a costume malfunction that happened during another Miley Cyrus' performance.   sf h Hedonic Quality Adjustment   (HQA) is a
      d Velocity Of Money is the frequency with which a unit of money is spent on new goods and services. d For example, let's say you had an extra $500  and had a carpenter replace
d  Falling oil and commodity prices, greatly weakened currencies, lower consumer spending, inflation and higher interest rates among emerging nations, will likely be a significant driver of the
dToday Market Snapshot    Bonds are up pushing the 10-year Treasury yield to 2.2%.  Stocks (S&P 500) are currently down more than -1% with Small Cap stocks (Russell) back in the red year-to-date
  Each week we look at the technical picture of the major investment markets.  When the Long-Term Indicator moves from Bullish to Bearish or Bearish to Bullish, we will comment on the reasons
McDonald's Sales Plummet Again   when it reported today that comp store sales fell -4.6% in the US - the worst in twelve years. s Oil Patch Convulsions Continue along with crude oil prices  having
  US Treasury Issues Warning To Investors          Approximately a year ago the Treasury’s Office of Financial Research (OFR) warned about the lack of market liquidity in various bonds.    
  Markets Sink On "Not Yet News" From Europe    The markets didn't want to here that Mario Draghi, Chair of the European Central Bank (ECB), kicked the can yet again by keeping interest rates
r Venezuelan Default Likely     Credit-default swaps (CDS) are essentially debt insurance contracts that investors purchase to assure return of principal and therefore are a good gauge of both risk
d Black Friday/Cyber Monday Holiday Sales Plummet      The four day holiday weekend spending spree upon which retailers rely, fell collapsed from $57.4 billion to $50.9 billion to register a stunning
  Each week we look at the technical picture of the major investment markets.  When the Long-Term Indicator moves from Bullish to Bearish or Bearish to Bullish, we will comment on the reasons
  Here's hoping that you and yours had a happy Thanksgiving!  Following last week's holiday market doldrums, now that December has arrived, here is today's report: s Japan Credit Rating
  Bureau of Economic Analysis Lies Fudges Again     Under the cover of the Thanksgiving holiday, once again the Banana Economic Analysis (BEA) has  created the numbers it wants rather than
S DAC Management, who claims to be the only foreign entity to be granted a distressed debt license in China, is a leading specialist asset and advisory firm focused on distressed credit and special
s Last night, having heard that my youngest daughter (20) was heading home from college for Thanksgiving,  my eldest daughter (25) sent me a hilarious video from Saturday Night live titled "Back Home
  v mf fc\ d Ferguson Missouri  is likely soon to be the new Detroit of middle America. Last night, following the grand juries announcement, anger gathered  to  burn more than a dozen small
c George Callas, majority staff director of the W&M Subcommittee on Select Revenue Measures told attendees at the KPMG Tax Institutes/Bloomberg BNA half-day conference on Nov. 6 of this year: d "
  Stocks are moving higher thus far today as we've had not one but two Central Bank interventions just last Friday: 1) surprise interest rate cut from China,  and 2) ECB President Mario Draghi
  Each week we look at the technical picture of the major investment markets.  When the Long-Term Indicator moves from Bullish to Bearish or Bearish to Bullish, we will comment on the reasons
  The People's Bank of China's Surprise Rate Cut causes stocks to soar. China dropped its  one-year lending rate to 5.6% (down 0.4 percentage points) and its one-year  deposit rate to 2.75% (down 0.
  Despite massive QE, monetization and manipulated GDP data from the world's central banks, today's economic news again confirms our belief that a global economic slowdown is firmly underway (
    s Meet Jerome Levy The year was 1929 when economist and businessman Jerome Levy hoisted a red flag regarding corporate profits and sold his stocks prior to the October 1929 stock
a When it comes to cost of living increases (COLA), YES it is. 8d b Inflation, as measured by the bogus BLS Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners (CPI-W) is compared to the AVERAGE for the
  Years of stimulus by the US Fed and the world’s leading central banks, have created a cheap-money borrower’s market and investors have opened their wallets and are imprudently playing along.  With
  Each week we look at the technical picture of the major investment markets.  When the Long-Term Indicator moves from Bullish to Bearish or Bearish to Bullish, we will comment on the reasons
  US Industrial Production slid -0.1% in October missing expectations of a +0.2% rise - the 3rd monthly drop in motor vehicle & parts production. The drop was driven by a combination of

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